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Sri Lanka Economic Update – September 2025

Economic update· 2 min read

GDP Q2 2025
+4.9%
Inflation (Aug)
+1.2%
July exports
USD 1.302B
FX reserves
USD 6.2B
S&P rating
CCC+ (stable)
Remittances Jul / Aug
USD 697M / 681M
Sri Lanka monthly economic update September 2025

A month of steady growth, renewed confidence and a credit upgrade

Sri Lanka’s economy continued to show impressive signs of recovery through 2025, strengthening investor and business confidence. Q2 data point to broad-based growth driven by higher exports, rising remittances and stable inflation.

Strong growth across key sectors

GDP grew 4.9% in Q2 2025, after 4.8% in the first half, marking eight consecutive quarters of positive growth since mid-2023. Industry led with around 8% growth (construction, textiles and manufacturing), services grew more than 3% (tourism, technology and financial services) and agriculture held steady.

Inflation turns positive

After almost a year of deflation, the Colombo Consumer Price Index rose 1.2% year on year in August. The Central Bank expects inflation to rise gradually towards its 5% target. The policy rate remained at 7.75%, and both manufacturing and services PMIs signal expansion.

Exports, tourism and remittances

  • July exports reached USD 1.3B, one of the highest monthly figures on record.
  • Tourism earnings were about USD 319M in August, with visitor numbers up 20% year on year.
  • Worker remittances jumped to USD 697M in July, the highest since 2020; USD 4.4B in the first seven months, with a full-year forecast of USD 7–7.5B.

Official reserves rose to around USD 6.2B, and the rupee weakened by only about 3% year to date.

Credit rating upgraded

On 19 September 2025 S&P raised Sri Lanka to CCC+ with a stable outlook, formally ending the selective-default period, following progress on economic reforms and debt restructuring under the IMF programme.

Agriculture: a mixed picture

The Yala-season paddy harvest rose about 11%, while tea and coconut output was mixed due to weather. Fisheries dipped in June but are expected to recover by year-end.

Outlook

The outlook for the rest of 2025 is cautiously positive: growth continues, inflation is contained and external buffers are solid. Sustained structural reform and public-debt management are needed to turn macro gains into real improvements in welfare and investment opportunity.

Source: Monthly Economic Update – September 2025 (CBSL / Ministry of Finance)

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Frequently asked questions

What is Sri Lanka’s credit rating?

On 19 September 2025 S&P upgraded Sri Lanka to CCC+ with a stable outlook, formally ending the selective-default period.

How fast did Sri Lanka grow in Q2 2025?

GDP grew 4.9% in Q2 2025 and 4.8% over the first half of the year.

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