A month of steady growth, renewed confidence and a credit upgrade
Sri Lanka’s economy continued to show impressive signs of recovery through 2025, strengthening investor and business confidence. Q2 data point to broad-based growth driven by higher exports, rising remittances and stable inflation.
Strong growth across key sectors
GDP grew 4.9% in Q2 2025, after 4.8% in the first half, marking eight consecutive quarters of positive growth since mid-2023. Industry led with around 8% growth (construction, textiles and manufacturing), services grew more than 3% (tourism, technology and financial services) and agriculture held steady.
Inflation turns positive
After almost a year of deflation, the Colombo Consumer Price Index rose 1.2% year on year in August. The Central Bank expects inflation to rise gradually towards its 5% target. The policy rate remained at 7.75%, and both manufacturing and services PMIs signal expansion.
Exports, tourism and remittances
- July exports reached USD 1.3B, one of the highest monthly figures on record.
- Tourism earnings were about USD 319M in August, with visitor numbers up 20% year on year.
- Worker remittances jumped to USD 697M in July, the highest since 2020; USD 4.4B in the first seven months, with a full-year forecast of USD 7–7.5B.
Official reserves rose to around USD 6.2B, and the rupee weakened by only about 3% year to date.
Credit rating upgraded
On 19 September 2025 S&P raised Sri Lanka to CCC+ with a stable outlook, formally ending the selective-default period, following progress on economic reforms and debt restructuring under the IMF programme.
Agriculture: a mixed picture
The Yala-season paddy harvest rose about 11%, while tea and coconut output was mixed due to weather. Fisheries dipped in June but are expected to recover by year-end.
Outlook
The outlook for the rest of 2025 is cautiously positive: growth continues, inflation is contained and external buffers are solid. Sustained structural reform and public-debt management are needed to turn macro gains into real improvements in welfare and investment opportunity.