Slower growth, disaster recovery and structural change in energy
The January 2026 monthly report from the economic research unit of The Ceylon Chamber of Commerce paints a complex but stable picture: continued growth and relative macro stability, alongside significant rebuilding challenges after Cyclone Ditwah.
Headline indicators
Indicator
Value
Period
GDP growth
5.3%
Q3 2025
Policy rate (OPR)
7.75%
—
FX reserves
USD 6.8B
Dec 2025
CCPI inflation (headline / core)
2.1% / 2.7%
Dec 2025
NCPI inflation (headline / core)
2.9% / 2.6%
Dec 2025
PMI manufacturing / services
60.9 / 67.9
Dec 2025
External sector
Indicator
Value (USD M)
Period
Exports
1,048
Nov 2025
Imports
1,779
Nov 2025
Trade deficit
731
Nov 2025
Services trade
270
Nov 2025
Tourism earnings
308.6 (258,928 arrivals, +15.1%)
Dec 2025
Worker remittances
879.1 (+22.8%)
Dec 2025
Remittances and strong tourism continue to directly support foreign-exchange stability.
Cyclone Ditwah and recovery
Direct damage is estimated at USD 4.1B (about 4% of GDP): infrastructure (roads, bridges, water and railways) USD 1.735B, housing USD 985M and agriculture USD 814M. The 2026 budget allocates LKR 100B to housing reconstruction, LKR 250B to infrastructure and LKR 250B to livelihood recovery.
Power sector
For January–October 2025, CEB hydro generation rose to 5,088 GWh (2024: 4,237), coal fell to 4,329 GWh (2024: 4,795) and non-conventional renewables (NCRE) grew to 3,343 GWh (2024: 2,559), alongside structural reform of the electricity sector.
Source: Monthly Economic Update, January 2026 – The Ceylon Chamber of Commerce
GDP grew 5.3% in Q3 2025. PMIs showed a December slowdown after Cyclone Ditwah but remained in expansion (manufacturing 60.9, services 67.9).
How much damage did Cyclone Ditwah cause?
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Direct damage is estimated at about USD 4.1B: USD 1.735B infrastructure, USD 985M housing and USD 814M agriculture. The 2026 budget allocates LKR 600B to recovery.
Ten days is enough for a balanced route from Colombo to Kandy and tea country, then a safari and a finish on the south coast. Seven days means a conscious cut — usually fewer beach days or skipping a region — and should be built around the season, not as a race between sights.
There is no single “best” month for the whole island. December–March is especially comfortable for the south and west coasts; July–September suits the east coast and safari. October is usually the least settled month. Build the route around the region, not only the departure date from Israel.
A business visit to Colombo can grow into a few tour days — Sigiriya and Kandy, tea country, or the south coast — without turning the whole week into back-to-back meetings. Keep a recovery day after the flight, cluster meetings in Colombo or Port City, and plan the touring days in a single stretch, matched to the season.