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Sri Lanka Economic Update – January 2026

Economic update· 2 min read

GDP growth (Q3 2025)
5.3%
Policy rate (OPR)
7.75%
FX reserves (Dec 2025)
USD 6.8B
CCPI inflation (Dec 2025)
2.1%
Tourist arrivals (Dec 2025)
258,928 (+15.1%)
Remittances (Dec 2025)
USD 879.1M (+22.8%)
Sri Lanka monthly economic update January 2026

Slower growth, disaster recovery and structural change in energy

The January 2026 monthly report from the economic research unit of The Ceylon Chamber of Commerce paints a complex but stable picture: continued growth and relative macro stability, alongside significant rebuilding challenges after Cyclone Ditwah.

Headline indicators

Indicator Value Period
GDP growth 5.3% Q3 2025
Policy rate (OPR) 7.75% —
FX reserves USD 6.8B Dec 2025
CCPI inflation (headline / core) 2.1% / 2.7% Dec 2025
NCPI inflation (headline / core) 2.9% / 2.6% Dec 2025
PMI manufacturing / services 60.9 / 67.9 Dec 2025

External sector

Indicator Value (USD M) Period
Exports 1,048 Nov 2025
Imports 1,779 Nov 2025
Trade deficit 731 Nov 2025
Services trade 270 Nov 2025
Tourism earnings 308.6 (258,928 arrivals, +15.1%) Dec 2025
Worker remittances 879.1 (+22.8%) Dec 2025

Remittances and strong tourism continue to directly support foreign-exchange stability.

Cyclone Ditwah and recovery

Direct damage is estimated at USD 4.1B (about 4% of GDP): infrastructure (roads, bridges, water and railways) USD 1.735B, housing USD 985M and agriculture USD 814M. The 2026 budget allocates LKR 100B to housing reconstruction, LKR 250B to infrastructure and LKR 250B to livelihood recovery.

Power sector

For January–October 2025, CEB hydro generation rose to 5,088 GWh (2024: 4,237), coal fell to 4,329 GWh (2024: 4,795) and non-conventional renewables (NCRE) grew to 3,343 GWh (2024: 2,559), alongside structural reform of the electricity sector.

Source: Monthly Economic Update, January 2026 – The Ceylon Chamber of Commerce

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Frequently asked questions

How fast is Sri Lanka’s economy growing?

GDP grew 5.3% in Q3 2025. PMIs showed a December slowdown after Cyclone Ditwah but remained in expansion (manufacturing 60.9, services 67.9).

How much damage did Cyclone Ditwah cause?

Direct damage is estimated at about USD 4.1B: USD 1.735B infrastructure, USD 985M housing and USD 814M agriculture. The 2026 budget allocates LKR 600B to recovery.

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